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Political speculations regarding the election results at the national and state levels

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09 May 24
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Political speculations regarding the election results at the national and state levels

Political speculations regarding the election results at the national and state levels are gaining momentum in the betting markets. The betting market in Faridabad and Churu is claiming a reduction in BJP seats nationwide. Experts involved in the betting market believe that despite BJP's claim of crossing the 400-seat mark, the party might secure only up to 275 seats in the country. They argue that previous predictions made by the Faridabad betting market regarding Karnataka, Himachal Pradesh, and other states have been accurate. However, BJP sources acknowledge that previous predictions made by the betting market about the Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan Assembly elections were incorrect.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's popularity and BJP's success in winning a record number of seats in the 18th Lok Sabha under his leadership, along with the prospect of forming three governments, are dominating the political landscape. In Rajasthan, the betting market is suggesting potential losses for BJP in constituencies like Barmer, Churu, Jhunjhunu, Sri Ganganagar, Dausa, Dholpur, Karauli, Banswara, Dungarpur, Bharatpur, Tonk, and Sawai Madhopur due to tough competition.

The betting market has refrained from making any assumptions about the Lok Sabha election results in Rajasthan, despite there being 25 days left until the results are announced on June 4. Recently, statements by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP's strategist, Home Minister Amit Shah, hinting at the possibility of BJP falling short by one or two seats in Rajasthan have caused a stir. Following Amit Shah's statement, Congress leaders have become assertive, claiming that BJP's hat-trick victory in Rajasthan is unlikely, and after a decade-long drought, Congress and its allies in the India United Front are poised to open the account of victory in Rajasthan.

BJP leaders, particularly Chief Minister Bhajan Lal Sharma and state BJP president CP Joshi, claim that BJP will win all 25 Lok Sabha seats in the state. They repeatedly assert that BJP will contribute to achieving Narendra Modi's resolve to surpass the 400-mark this time in the Lok Sabha.

Meanwhile, in a sensational statement, BJP's senior leader and most prominent minister in the cabinet, Dr. Kirori Lal Meena, has sparked controversy by stating that if their candidate Kanhaiya Lal Meena loses in Dausa, he will resign from his ministerial post as promised. He confidently declared that BJP's candidate Kanhaiya Lal Meena will defeat Congress candidate and former minister Murari Lal Meena in Dausa. However, Congress claims a hundred percent victory on this seat, expecting Meena, Gurjar, Muslim, Yadav, and traditional Congress voters to sway the election in their favor.

With the Lok Sabha elections underway in Rajasthan, political temperatures are rising as speculations about the election results continue to brew. It is being discussed in political circles that BJP might not achieve a clean sweep this time. Amit Shah's statement has shifted the dynamics of politics in Rajasthan. Although BJP had claimed victory on all seats in the state after both phases of voting, Amit Shah's statement has brought a new perspective to the political landscape.

In the meantime, preparations have begun for presenting the full budget of the Rajasthan government in the Assembly after the Lok Sabha elections, with a focus on accommodating the migrant Rajasthanis in Telangana and other states. Approximately three thousand crore rupees have been allocated for the development of cities in the state, including projects related to infrastructure improvement, drainage, road construction, development of religious sites, and water conservation. Jaipur Development Authority alone has projects worth more than 2400 crores.

Moreover, the political environment in the country is heating up akin to the scorching summer days. BJP's statement regarding Rahul Gandhi by Pakistan's army chief and Sam Pitroda's remarks on religious polarization have become significant issues. However, following his controversial remarks on Kashmir, Sam Pitroda has resigned from the Overseas Congress presidency. Meanwhile, Congress is aggressively targeting Rahul Gandhi in response to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's remarks about his proximity to industrialists Ambani and Adani.

It remains to be seen how far the witty remarks of politicians intensify the political discourse and their impact on the upcoming phases of voting.


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