SEA’s Predictive Analysis on All India Estimates 119.4 Lakh Tonnes of Rapeseed-Mustard Production for Rabi 2025–26

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Published on : 31 Mar, 26 06:03

SEA’s Predictive Analysis on All India Estimates 119.4 Lakh Tonnes  of Rapeseed-Mustard Production for Rabi 2025–26

Udaipur : The Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA), has released the first production estimate for Rapeseed–Mustard crop for Rabi 2025–26, indicating a steady improvement in overall crop fundamentals.

For the 2025–26 mustard crop estimation, SEA appointed Indian Agribusiness Systems Ltd (AgriWatch) to conduct a comprehensive study using field surveys, crop cutting and remote sensing. With extensive experience in agri-commodity research, AgriWatch has conducted multiple studies and its estimates are based on two rounds of field surveys across various major mustard growing districts.

As per the estimate, the All-India Rapeseed–Mustard area has increased to 93.91 lakh hectares, compared to 92.15 lakh hectares in 2024–25. Supported by favourable weather conditions and improved agronomic practices, the average yield has also improved to 1,271 kg per hectare, up from 1,250 kg per hectare last year.

Consequently, total production is estimated at 119.4 lakh tonnes, registering a significant increase over 115.2 lakh tonnes in the previous season. The growth in output is primarily driven by higher acreage, along with marginal gains in productivity across key producing states.

“Up by around 3.5%, this growth trajectory, from about 86 lakh tonnes in 2019–20 to nearly 120 lakh tonnes in the current year, is a testament to improved agronomic practices, better farmer awareness and favourable policy support,” says Sanjeev Asthana, President, The Solvent Extractors’ Association of India, in his opening address at the press conference, held in Jaipur on March 30, 2026.

“The results of the SEA–Agriwatch Mustard Crop Survey reaffirm the resilience of India’s oilseed sector. A strong mustard crop will play a crucial role in improving domestic edible oil availability and reducing import dependence,” shares Sanjeev Asthana, President, The Solvent Extractors’ Association of India.

At the state level, Rajasthan continues to lead the country’s mustard production, with output estimated at 53.9 lakh tonnes, while Uttar Pradesh has recorded a notable rise in production to 18.1 lakh tonnes. While Madhya Pradesh witnessed a marginal decline in production to 13.9 lakh tonnes, Haryana has shown steady growth with production reaching 12.7 lakh tonnes.

Among other states, West Bengal and Gujarat have also registered positive growth, with production estimated at 7.4 lakh tonnes and 5.9 lakh tonnes, respectively. However, Assam has reported lower yields, leading to a decline in output to 2.1 lakh tonnes, while Bihar has remained largely stable at 0.9 lakh tonnes.

“Overall, the Rabi 2025–26 mustard crop presents a positive outlook, reinforcing India’s oilseed availability scenario, although regional variations in yield and acreage trends continue to shape the production landscape,” says Vijay Data, Chairman, SEA Rape-Mustard Promotion Council.

STATE-WISE MUSTARD 1ST PRODUCTION ESTIMATE FOR RABI ’25- (ALL INDIA)

STATE

RS AREA 2024-25 (Ha)

RS AREA 2025-26 (Ha)

YIELD

(Kg/Ha)

2024-25

YIELD

(Kg/Ha)

2025-26

PRODUCTION
(Lakh Tonnes)

2024-25

PRODUCTION
(Lakh Tonnes)

2025-26

Rajasthan

34,74,000

35,77,958

1,498

1,506

52.0

53.9

Uttar Pradesh

14,23,000

15,41,444

1,096

1,172

15.6

18.1

Madhya Pradesh

14,86,000

14,04, 368

987

993

14.7

13.9

Haryana

7,14,000

7,30, 270

1,723

1,733

12.3

12.7

West Bengal

6,83,000

7,37,861

995

997

6.8

7.4

Gujarat

2,62,000

2,83,970

2,055

2,067

5.4

5.9

Assam

3,15,000

3,20,332

798

667

2.5

2.1

Bihar

85, 581

85,942

1,086

1,031

0.9

0.9

Monitored States

84,42,581

86,82,145

1,306

1,322

110.2

114.9

Other States

7,72,419

7,09,273

638

640

4.9

4.5

All India*(Total)

92,15,000

93,91,418

1,250

1,271

115.2

119.4

*Including Taramira and Toria

“SEA underscores that these estimates and observations remain provisional and may be revised in line with evolving agronomic conditions, real-time remote sensing inputs, and deeper analytical assessments. Updated acreage and harvest reports will be shared as the season advances. The Association will undertake its third and final field survey during April–May to validate its yield and production estimates,” reiterates Dr Mehta.


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